BIDU reported good earnings and good forecast. Today BIDU shares are up a bit. Our BIDU spreads (135/140) are making money. Two points to take home with:
- BIDU is not as volatile as used to be, reflected by the smaller price movement post earnings, unlike other tech concerns such as nflx, pcln etc. This suggests that BIDU’s biz model is more mature and its market leadership is unchallenged without a formidable competitor on the horizon. As a result, BIDU’s time value will decrease. This stock is a safe but less profitable one going forward for strategies focusing on premium selling.
- When placing a trade, one needs to take into account all variable factors such as overall market condition and individual stock chart pattern. In the case of BIDU, 1. China is a growing and stable market; 2. US market is bullish; 3. BIDU’s chart is near perfect (reflecting its multi quarter good earnings). Statistically, the chance of BIDU having a bad earnings report is low, hence my spreads trading. It’s all about statistics.
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